Manitoba families are among the biggest beneficiaries of revamped federal child benefit payments, but new estimates suggest the program won’t reduce child poverty as much as first predicted.

The national average monthly payment is $570.

In Manitoba, the average monthly payment to families is $680 — $8,160 a year — an amount second only to Nunavut among all provinces and territories, matching national data that show Manitoba has the second-highest rate of child poverty, behind Nunavut.

Initially, the Liberals said 11,500 kids would be lifted out of poverty by the benefit, but subsequent analyses using more detailed data show that’s likely to be closer to 8,500. Provincewide, the government expects about 21,000 children and 13,900 parents to be lifted out of poverty because of the new benefit.